"President Biden faces a tricky choice: should he insist on showing good policies to Saudi Arabia, or take measures to retaliate?" The New York Times reported on the 6th.
On the eve of the key mid -term elections in the United States, the oil export national league "OPEC+" suddenly announced the maximum production reduction since the epidemic.Considering that the US President Biden had just ended the "Oil Seeking Oil" in July, Washington generally regarded this as Saudi Arabia's "behind the knife behind it."
A few days after the White House issued a statement on Thursday (6th) local time, Biden first responded to the media for the first time.In the intention of descenting to dilute, he reiterated that he felt "disappointed" and revealed unknownly that he was considering the "alternative".
But he also acknowledged that there was a "problem" in Meisha relations.The Associated Press believes that Biden's statement actually acknowledged its diplomatic failure. This was the Saudi Crown Prince "another slap in".
Democratic colleagues who just valued votes were obviously dissatisfied with the "over -respect" he showed.Democrats accused Riya of the "standing Russia" for supporting oil prices on Thursday, and called on the United States to withdraw troops from Saudi Arabia, which undoubtedly increased the pressure on Biden's response.In addition, the New York Times pointed out that whether it is calling for domestic production or restrictions on exports, the Bynden government, which is tightly related to the oil industry, has limited choices and weigh them.
Regardless of the choice, the United States CNN pointed out that the reality facing Bayeng is currently that the complex and fragile bilateral relations between Meisha have broken deeply.The economic and political situation has become more fragile.
"New York Times": Is OPEC's choice after the production reduction, is it a good Saudi Arabia or revenge?
Biden admits "diplomacy failure" in disguise, Democrats demanded to withdraw troops
On the 6th, when the media was asked about the response to production reduction, Biden said that the US government was looking for the "alternative solution" of oil supply, but "has not made a decision."He also acknowledged that the decision made by the "OPEC+" country headed by Saudi Arabia is "disappointing": "This shows that there is a problem with the relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia."
Just three months ago, in order to solve the problem of high domestic oil prices, he continued to use the "human rights issue" to knock on Saudi Biden to "put down his body", start the first Middle East trip to repair the US -Saison relationship, and leave it with the Saudi Crown Prince of the Crown Prince.Well -known "touching fist diplomacy".
The Associated Press said that Biden's statement actually acknowledged the failure of this "the biggest and most humiliated foreign policy gambling", and the Saudi Crown Prince Salva "also gave him a slap": the decision to reduce production, which will both decide to reduce production, will both decide to reduce production, which will both decide to reduce production, which will both decide to reduce production and will both decide to reduce production and will both decide to reduce production.Supporting the continued conflict of oil -producing countries in Ukraine will also promote the increase in inflation rates. Before the US midterm elections, push oil prices back to the level of voters and weaken the election prospects of Biden and Democrats.
On the same day, Biden insisted that he visited Saudi Arabia's "essentially not for oil", but also included goals such as encouraging the establishment of diplomatic relations with Israel.However, the New York Times pointed out that U.S. officials revealed privately at the time that they had a consensus that Saudi Arabia and other energy powers would increase their output before autumn.
On July 15, local time, Biden and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Ben Salman touched his punch.Image source: Surging Image
At the same time, the Democrats in the U.S. Congress called on the government to respond to a tough response, withdrawing the weapons and military protection provided by the United States for Saudi Arabia, and accusing Saudi Crown Princes for no longer adhere to the strategy of exchanging oil and military for more than 70 years between the two countries.Partnerships.
According to reports, Susan Wild, Pennsylvania, Susan Wild, Illinois members Sean Casten, and New Jersey MP Tom Malinowski (Tom Malinowski)The three Democrats of the House of Representatives said on Wednesday evening that production reduction was "hostile behavior" and a "turning point" of the US -Saudi and UAE diplomatic relations, and proposed a legislation to cancel the US military support for the two countries.
Marinovsky said in an interview with the US media on Thursday that he believed that this was "intentional" to hurt the United States."I really can't see any good reasons for us to maintain the troops where the oil fields and security interests are almost completely fulfilled, which is meaningless to me."
He also claimed that the Saudi Crown Prince "has no doubt that" has the same values as Russian President Putin, and "he does not appreciate the American advocacy of world democracy."
"This (referring to the withdrawal) will attract their attention. To deal with action with action and expose their calling. They really think they can use American security partners for Russia or China security partners? Do they knowThey can't do this, "Marinovsky said.
New Jersey Democratic Party member Tom Marinnovsky (data map) Picture Source: NPR
According to a report submitted to the Parliament in June, about 2,733 US military personnel were deployed to Saudi Arabia to "protect the interests of the United States and prevent hostile operations from groups supported by Iran or Iran."In the UAE, this number is about 2,000 people.
The New York Times pointed out that the bill was more just a statement because the US Congress had a meeting before the election.Marinovsky said that the legislation "fully replicated" a bill promoted by the Republicans of the Senate in 2020. At that time, President Trump was put pressure on Saudi Arabia due to excessive oil prices and asked him to reduce production.The approach played at the time, and he hoped that the bill would now provide Biden with the "ammunition".
Marinovsky said he had talked to officials from the White House and the State Council, but he refused to describe the other party's reaction.
The response in Saudi Arabia is in sharp contrast to the US domestic politics.According to the Wall Street Journal, Ali Shihabi, a commentator connected with the Saudi government, said that Lyad was surprised by Washington's "hysteria" about Washington's oil price.
Highabi said that Saudi Arabia's strategy is changing because it adapts to the increase in oil production in the United States, and the dependence of the United States' imports of OPEC has decreased.
It is reported that Saudi Arabia no longer sells a large amount of oil to the United States, but has become China's largest supply country, which has re -positioned Riyadh's business and political interests.David OTTaway, a Middle East researcher at Welson Center in Washington, DC, pointed out that this limits the choice of the United States to help to reduce energy prices."Of course, they dismiss the pressure from Biden, and they don't feel what responsibility for the Bayeng government."
A U.S. official said to CNN: "This is not always about us, we understand. But they know the perception and influence of this move like us."
Continue to show that "revenge",This is a problem
"Biden's choice of reducing production is limited, and we trade -off." The New York Times wrote.
The White House had previously said that the 180 million barrels of strategic oil reserve (SPR) that the government announced the release of the last 10 million barrels will be released in November, and the follow -up Biden will continue to "appropriately" provide strategic oil storage to the market.U.S. Secretary of State Brills said that in the past few months, US oil production has increased by about 500,000 barrels per day.
CNN pointed out that the White House's statement was to show that there was a view inside it, that is, if the U.S. government needs, there is "bullet" in the "barrel".However, the New York Times said that because the reserve is now at the lowest level in the past 40 years, once a war or a natural disaster such as a hurricane occurs, oil may have a shortage.
At the same time, the White House is also calling on domestic petroleum manufacturers to increase its output, reduce its own profits, and reduce retail prices.
However, the government that insists on clean energy policy has implemented stricter regulations on fossil fuels, which makes Wall Street investors skeptical of the return of US oil business, forcing the company to focus on repurchase, repayment of debts and dividends, and dividends.Shareholders return cash instead of investing cash in more oil production.
Bart Melek, a global director of the commodity market strategy of TD Securities, said American oil and natural gas producers believe that they must "operate only in a limited period".
In turn, this slows down the growth of oil production and further pushes the price of oil.The Wall Street Journal quoted experts in the industry that the government's attitude is impacting the refining capacity, and this is a capital -intensive industry that requires billions of dollars to build gasoline manufacturers.
The measures that US government officials have been discussed also include prohibiting exports of gasoline and diesel, but officials also acknowledged that this is not an ideal choice. This will cause damage to European allies who try to get rid of Russia's energy and amplifyGlobal inflation pressure.Analysts in the petroleum industry believe that this may be caused by dispersing fear or causing bottlenecks in the market, but it has promoted the rise in oil prices.
On October 3, local time, the price of gasoline in Los Angeles, California, California, fluctuated between $ 7.09-7.39 per gallon that morning.Previously, the average price of gasoline had risen for 31 consecutive days.Picture source: Visual China
There is another method of increasing domestic production, which is to open more federal land and waters for drilling, and relax the provisions of drilling, exploration and pipeline laying, but this is likely to arouse the rebound of environmental people.
Another way out is abroad: If the US government relaxes sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, the US government can release more than 1 million barrels of oil every day, which will not only help the price of oil, but also replace some Russian oil supply.
However, the Yue Nuclear negotiations are currently stagnant, and the hope of making breakthroughs is slim, and the prospect of reconciliation with Venezuela is also very vague.
The Wall Street Journal has previously quoted sources that the United States plans to loosen sanctions on Venezuela, allowing the US energy giant Chevron to minimize the country's oil.The report also revealed that the two parties of the US Commission "take a step back", hoping that the Maduro government will restore negotiations with domestic opposition at the same time.
A spokesman for the White House National Security Council quickly responded that the United States has not changed the sanctions against Venezuela, but it will review the sanctions policies of the country in accordance with the "performance" of the Maduro administration.When asked what Venezuela was going to persuade the United States to relax sanctions on Thursday, Biden also bluntly said "a lot".
In addition, the White House hinted that it would restart a antitrust bill against OPEC.The White House said that the Biden government will negotiate with the control of energy prices on how to reduce the control of "OPEC+".U.S. media generally believe that this means that the "NOPEC" (NOPEC) may reopen on the agenda of Washington.The bill will enable the US government to sue OPEC member states to manipulate the energy market and may seek billions of dollars compensation.
The New York Times said that the Bayeng government still seems to have hope for the actual production reduction.Some analysts pointed out that due to the weak increase in production before, the oil production of many countries is far lower than its quota, so they do not have to reduce the output, and the actual reduction daily output may only be about 1 million barrels.
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